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IGDT Based Robust Decision Making Tool for DNOs in Load Procurement Under Severe Uncertainty

机译:基于IGDT的不确定条件下负荷采购中DNO的鲁棒决策工具。

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摘要

This paper presents the application of Information Gap Decision Theory (IGDT) to help the Distribution Network Operators (DNOs) in choosing the supplying resources for meeting the demand of their customers. The three main energy resources are pool market, Distributed Generations (DGs) and the bilateral contracts. In deregulated environment, the DNO is faced with many uncertainties associated to the mentioned resources which may not have enough information about their nature and behaviors. In such cases, the classical methods likeprobabilistic methods or fuzzy methods are not applicable for uncertainty modeling because they need some information about the uncertainty behaviors like Probability Distribution Function (PDF) or their membership functions. In this paper, a decision making framework is proposed based on IGDT model to solve this problem. The uncertain parameters considered here, are as follows: price of electricity in pool market, demand of each bus and the decisions of DG investors. The robust strategy of DNO is determined to hedge him against the risk of increasing the total cost beyond what he is willing to pay. The effectiveness of theproposed tool is assessed and demonstrated by applying it on a test distribution network.
机译:本文介绍了信息鸿沟决策理论(IGDT)的应用,以帮助配电网络运营商(DNO)选择满足其客户需求的供应资源。三大主要能源资源是联合市场,分布式发电(DGs)和双边合同。在放松管制的环境中,DNO面临与上述资源相关的许多不确定因素,这些不确定因素可能没有足够的关于其性质和行为的信息。在这种情况下,经典方法(如概率方法或模糊方法)不适用于不确定性建模,因为它们需要一些有关不确定性行为的信息,例如概率分布函数(PDF)或它们的隶属函数。本文提出了一种基于IGDT模型的决策框架来解决这一问题。这里考虑的不确定参数如下:联合市场中的电价,每辆公共汽车的需求以及DG投资者的决策。 DNO采取了强有力的策略,决心要对付他的总风险超出他愿意支付的风险。通过在测试分发网络上应用该工具,评估并证明了该工具的有效性。

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